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Vol. 02 · New Zealand
WEDNESDAY 04/11/2026
Iss. 2026 / 45
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Westpac Consumer Confidence Falls to 80.4 in June Quarter — Economic News
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CONSUMER SENTIMENT · ECONOMIC DATA

Westpac Consumer Confidence Index Drops to 80.4, Lowest in Three Years

The Westpac-McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence Index plunged 14.3 points to 80.4 in the June 2026 quarter.

Data Desk17/06/2026 · 15:07 NZT6 min read
Economic DataBreaking
DD
Data Desk
Economic Data Reporter · 17/06/2026 · 15:07 NZT · 6 min read
Shoppers in a New Zealand supermarket aisle checking prices amid rising living costs

At a glance

NZ consumer confidence hit its lowest in three years as fuel, energy and mortgage costs squeeze budgets — one in three households now expects to be worse off next year.

Key stats

Confidence Index
80.4
June 2026 quarter
Prior Quarter
94.7
March 2026
Long-term Average
~108
since 1988
Petrol Price
NZD 3.41/L
early June 2026
Household Living Costs
+2.1%
year to Mar 2026
OCR
2.25%
held
Discretionary Spend Cut
Net 38%
weakest since 1991
"The cost of essentials like petrol and electricity has skyrocketed, along with mortgage costs pushing higher. The resulting squeeze on households' finances has been a drag on spending."Satish Ranchod, Westpac senior economist

Sources cited

  • Westpac McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence, March quarter 2026 — Westpac
  • Household living costs increase 2.1 percent — Stats NZ
  • Retail interest rates on lending and deposits (B3) — Reserve Bank of New Zealand
  • New Zealand Consumer Confidence — Trading Economics
  • New Zealand gasoline prices, 08-Jun-2026 — GlobalPetrolPrices
  • Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence - ANZ — ANZ

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The Westpac-McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence Index plunged 14.3 points to 80.4 in the June 2026 quarter. This marks the lowest reading since 2023 and the weakest level in three years.

The prior quarter's reading stood at 94.7 in March 2026. The long-term average since 1988 sits around 108.

A reading below 100 signals more households pessimistic than optimistic about economic conditions.

Higher fuel and energy costs drove the sharp decline. Petrol prices reached NZD 3.41 per litre by early June.

Westpac senior economist Satish Ranchod highlighted the pressure.

"The cost of essentials like petrol and electricity has skyrocketed, along with mortgage costs pushing higher. The resulting squeeze on households' finances has been a drag on spending."

Floating residential mortgage rates hovered near 5.8 to 6.2 percent in recent months.

Discretionary Spending at Weakest Since 1991

Households responded by cutting discretionary spending. A net 38 percent reduced outlays on dining out and entertainment. This represents the weakest result since 1991.

Westpac-McDermott Miller Consumer Confidence Index
Index fell sharply in Q2 2026, well below the long-term average of 108.
Source: Westpac / McDermott Miller; Trading Economics

Regional and Demographic Splits

Regional differences emerged. Canterbury recorded the smallest drop, supported by dairy sector strength. Wellington showed the most pessimism amid public sector concerns.

Gender and employment gaps appeared in the data. Half of women viewed themselves as worse off financially than a year ago, compared with two in five men.

McDermott Miller market research director Imogen Rendall noted forward-looking pessimism.

"Just over a quarter of those in paid work expect to be better off financially in a year's time, compared with just one in seven of those who are not in paid work."

One third of households expected to be worse off next year. This marks the most pessimistic outlook in three years.

Potential Relief on the Horizon

Relief may come from easing global tensions and lower oil prices. Ranchod pointed to potential recovery later in 2026.

"While domestic cost pressures remain elevated for now, the recent easing in global tensions could pave the way for a recovery in confidence and firming in economic activity through the back part of the year."

New Zealand's Stats NZ data showed household living costs rose 2.1 percent year-on-year to March 2026. The RBNZ held the OCR at 2.25 percent amid these pressures.

Analysts expect modest improvement if fuel costs stabilise and monetary easing effects flow through.